Weather or Not to Predict: In 2005 we saw an incredible amount of hurricanes, more than ever before. Hurricane Katrina (and then Wilma) brought storms to the American coast that awakened many. Hundreds of thousands of people in New Orleans discovered two things regarding this terrible storm. First, many found out for the first time that their city was built below sea level, something that apparently even their city government didn't know. Second, they discovered that there was a large body of water on their southern border (commonly called the Gulf of Mexico, or part of the Atlantic Ocean) and that hurricanes tend to develop there. This was a terrible combination that had never been considered before by the residents of Louisiana. The results of this combination totally caught everyone off guard and a lot of people died, hundreds of thousands displaced.
The cause of these storms were obvious to some, less obvious to others. The press pointed out that hurricanes are the result of global warming and were not cyclical as had been shown through decades of evidence. The reason that global warming was getting worse was of course a direct result of President Bush and his inability to have the Kyoto Accord signed (originally rejected by the Clinton/Gore administration). Because of this failed environmental policy we were told that the nation would face unprecedented hurricanes in 2006 as the environment warmed even more.
Instead of the thirty that we faced in 2005, the 2006 hurricane season showed us just 10 named storms, only two of which touched our shores, and none at hurricane strength. To recap, in 2005 we faced 30 storms and we were told we would have even more in 2006 and instead we had 1/3rd. Those people in charge of such predictions at NOAA should have been terminated at the conclusion of the season. They are paid to make predictions and they obviously have absolutely no skill in this area. None. A 5 year old child could have made a more accurate guess.
But the worse part of all of this is that they have insisted that 2007 will bring more storms than 2005. Fool me once, possibly. But twice? So where are we with all of those storms? Well we are nearly 3 months into the 2007 season and have had two named storms, none causing serious damage, but instead bringing some much needed rain to the south. But, we are told again that we are to receive above average named storms this year. "For the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA scientists predict 13 to 17 named storms, with seven to 10 becoming hurricanes, of which three to five could become major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher," said retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. An average Atlantic hurricane season brings 11 named storms, with six becoming hurricanes, including two major hurricanes."
Okay, so once again we will all sit around watching as these people are paid to tell us what is going to happen. Three months into the season I am not convinced that they have the first clue. But you can be sure of this, if another major hurricane does make landfall it will be the blame of global warming, and if it hits New Orleans it will be the fault of George Bush for allowing them to build a city below sea level and not telling anyone.
The cause of these storms were obvious to some, less obvious to others. The press pointed out that hurricanes are the result of global warming and were not cyclical as had been shown through decades of evidence. The reason that global warming was getting worse was of course a direct result of President Bush and his inability to have the Kyoto Accord signed (originally rejected by the Clinton/Gore administration). Because of this failed environmental policy we were told that the nation would face unprecedented hurricanes in 2006 as the environment warmed even more.
Instead of the thirty that we faced in 2005, the 2006 hurricane season showed us just 10 named storms, only two of which touched our shores, and none at hurricane strength. To recap, in 2005 we faced 30 storms and we were told we would have even more in 2006 and instead we had 1/3rd. Those people in charge of such predictions at NOAA should have been terminated at the conclusion of the season. They are paid to make predictions and they obviously have absolutely no skill in this area. None. A 5 year old child could have made a more accurate guess.
But the worse part of all of this is that they have insisted that 2007 will bring more storms than 2005. Fool me once, possibly. But twice? So where are we with all of those storms? Well we are nearly 3 months into the 2007 season and have had two named storms, none causing serious damage, but instead bringing some much needed rain to the south. But, we are told again that we are to receive above average named storms this year. "For the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA scientists predict 13 to 17 named storms, with seven to 10 becoming hurricanes, of which three to five could become major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher," said retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator. An average Atlantic hurricane season brings 11 named storms, with six becoming hurricanes, including two major hurricanes."
Okay, so once again we will all sit around watching as these people are paid to tell us what is going to happen. Three months into the season I am not convinced that they have the first clue. But you can be sure of this, if another major hurricane does make landfall it will be the blame of global warming, and if it hits New Orleans it will be the fault of George Bush for allowing them to build a city below sea level and not telling anyone.
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